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Macroeconomics · Hard · 30 marks
IEO past paper: 2021 International Economics Olympiad, open questions
Last year, IEO contestants were asked to solve a problem about an optimal lockdown. Unfortunately, in 2021 this topic is no less relevant. So suppose society is facing a severe viral pandemic and contemplates introducing a lockdown. How strong should the lockdown be? The answer to this question apparently depends on the preferences of the society between the lives/health of people and GDP. Or does it really? Let be the level (strength) of a lockdown ( is no lockdown while is complete lockdown) and be some measure of the total amount of virus in circulation. The relation between the two is given by . Aggregate demand in the economy is given by the function while aggregate supply is governed by the equation where is a parameter; is real GDP and is price level, as usual. Finally, let be the aggregate health of people; it depends on the amount of virus in circulation as follows: . Define the Pandemic Possibility Frontier (PPF, for short) as the set of all pairs that can be achieved by a policy-maker by choosing various levels of lockdown .
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